OToole and Singh warming up voters as Trudeau turns them off Poll
National results put the two main parties in a statistical tie
Author of the article:
Brian LilleyPublishing date:
Aug 24, 2021 • 3 minutes ago • 2 minute read • 139 Comments
From left, Conservative Leader Erin O'Toole, NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh and Liberal Leader Justin Trudeau. Postmedia files Article content What a difference a week can make.
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Article contentThe latest Angus Reid Institute public opinion poll shows the Trudeau Liberals just two points ahead of the O’Toole Conservatives in vote support.
In contrast, a poll released by Angus Reid on Aug. 18 â€" just after the vote was called â€" showed a six-point gap between the two leading parties with the Liberals holding 36% of voter support and the Conservatives 30%.
Now that gap stands at 33% support for the Liberals and 31% for the Conservatives.
The Trudeau Liberals have lost support in the first week of the campaign. The latest poll also shows Justin Trudeau’s favourability rating dropping while Erin O’Toole and Jagmeet Singh see theirs rising.
Asked if their views of leaders are improving, worsened or stayed the same, 22% say their opinion of NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh has improved, 20% say their impression of Conservative Leader Erin O’Toole has improved, while just 6% say their impression of Liberal Leader Justin Trudeau has improved.
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Article contentA full 59% of Canadians have an unfavourable view of Trudeau, the same percentage as those who view O’Toole unfavourably, compared to just 39% who view Singh in a negative way.
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“Campaigns are neither won nor lost in the first week, but building momentum is undoubtedly a key component of success,†the Angus Reid Institute said in a news release.
“There are signs of improvement for both Conservative Leader Erin O’Toole and NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh.â€
When it comes to regional break downs of voter support, the Conservatives have a slight lead over the NDP and Liberals in British Columbia â€" 32% CPC, 30% NDP and 27% LPC. The Conservatives dominate across Alberta, Saskatchewan and Manitoba with a minimum 20-point lead in each province.
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Article contentWhere the race is tightening, according to the Angus Reid Institute, is in Ontario and Atlantic Canada.
Results show a tightening race in several regions of the country. The latest poll has the Liberals dropping from a 10-point lead to just a six-point lead in Ontario. The Liberals have 38% support, which is down 2 points, while the Conservatives are at 33%, up 3 points, and the NDP are up 1 point to 22%.
In Atlantic Canada the story is the NDP, which look to have jumped from 20% support a week ago to 27% support today. The Liberals have gone from 41% support down to 37% while the Conservatives are up from 30% to 31% in the region.
The national results put the two main parties in a statistical tie. The regional breakdowns show the Conservatives holding strong in areas they need to win while the Liberals lose support in their key battlegrounds. The election takes place Sept. 20, meaning there is lots of time for the results to change again.
A week is a lifetime in politics.
blilley@postmedia.com
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